It’s Moving Day

May 1, 2011

Attention Zagacious Readers:

If you’ve enjoyed at all what you’ve read here on the site and would like to continue to follow our writing, please do so over at our cooler big brother’s house, www.slipperstillfits.com.

Zach and Max have asked me to be a full time contributor over at SSF, and they’re very persuasive. So, from now on Zagacious’s content will dwell in the fun and raucous abode that is SBNation.

It’s been our pleasure getting to know you over the past year. We hope you stick with us.

Thanks to all of you who decided to stop by and check us out.

See you over at Slipper!

Will


Landry Effectively Stockpiled, Ridiculous Logjam At Guard Spots Now Official

April 24, 2011

Of all the 2011-2012 recruits we know the least about Guy Landry, aside from the fact that he believes he can do anything. But it’s still fun to think of Ronny Turiaf and Jeremy Pargo’s lovechild roaming the floors of K2 with Ivory Coast flags gently flapping amidst the expelled breath of the Kennel Club.

You know what isn’t fun? The staff’s untenable fetish with stockpiling guards.

Landry’s signing marks the final and definitive downhill nudge of a snowball that’ll roll at a breakneck pace for the rest of 2011, a good old American serving of ‘we-didn’t-think-this-through’ that might run smack into Marquise, David Stockton, Respected Senior Meech Goodson, or perhaps even Landry himself.

While we only have one true wing man – Mathis Moenninghoff – Landry’s arrival makes for ten nominal guards on the team. We’ve seen Division I teams who don’t have ten guys to go to on their entire roster. We simply have too many guys for too few spots.

This isn’t necessarily bad for our bigs, and it’s theoretically great for Mathis. Rob and Elias will be still adequately backed up by Sam, Kelly and Ryan Spangler. And at this point, Mathis is competing mostly against himself for minutes.

This is bad for our guards.

Assuming that Goodson and Carter start on opening day next year, here’s a very loose approximation of the Zags ’11-’12 guard depth chart.

#@$%*&!!????

It’s no secret that we’re in the midst of the biggest player exodus in the MZE, and probably even in Zag history. Whether you believe this phenomenon is an issue at Gonzaga or an issue across the entire college basketball landscape, players are leaving at higher rates than ever before, and the majority of those players are two guards or wings: Vilarino. Gibbs. Hyland. Arop. Kong. PMAC. Gurgainous. All twos and threes. All left the school between 2007 and 2011.

Players departing as these ones have results in a certain level of tumult for the organization; it’s impossible to quantify, but you know it’s there. The ’11-’12 roster is built in a fashion that will only continue this trend of transferring.

There are a few factors that could potentially mitigate the guard mess. Few’s reluctance to play Mathis last season most likely means that we’ll run out a three guard set to start next season. Also, either  Dranginis or Sarbaugh will almost certainly red shirt to cut the number of usable players down to fifteen. But even under these preconditions, ten active players will still be vying for playing time over three spots. And that’s the best case scenario.

The dominant fan gripe of this past year was the Mike Hart vs. Three Wings saga, a controversy which centered around four guys vying for playing time at one position, and three of them barely receiving any. The “Rotation” that determined said playing time ended up taking months to figure out, pissed off a lot of people, and (inevitably) didn’t end up distributing equitable minutes even once it was determined.

Under the team’s current roster construct, the 2011-2012 situation should be no different. If anything, it should be worse. If the staff had such a contentious and disruptive time distributing one spot’s playing time across four guys, will they realistically be able to determine a rotation early on in the season that gives ten guys somewhat equitable PT across three spots? Especially when five of them have never played in a Zag uniform?

Basic mathematics and common sense tell us that it’s unlikely more than six or seven of these ten will amass enough playing time by which to improve their familiarity with the system and each other. This also implies that only six or seven of the ten will amass a statistically significant sample size of playing time by which statheads like us can meaningfully analyze their performance. This leaves at least three guys who will stay on the bench for the majority of the season. At least one of those three will probably end up being a non-Freshman, and at least one of them will probably not be happy about riding the pine.

In this Age Of Entitlement, that’s a great recipe for prolonging the recent trend of guys transferring out of the program.

I understand the mentality of stockpiling talent. On paper, it can make sense to give yourself as many options at as many positions as possible. This way, the best options can stick and the ones that don’t pan out can quietly go away. This is clearly the approach the staff is taking.

But there’s a reason why this approach is more theoretically sound than practically sound. The team doesn’t exist in a vacuum. This isn’t NCAA 2K10 where you only keep the players with the 12 highest numerical values after their name. It’s not always as black and white as “the right ones stay on and the wrong ones go elsewhere.” Building a team this way is interrupted by the type of intangibles that this site and many fans love to hate, specifically that banal enigma, ‘Chemistry.’ Their importance is often overstated or wrongly quantified by people like Greg Heister, but they do exist.

Building the right team is about more than plugging in different variables in the same equation and finding the largest output. It’s about realizing that different variables sometimes make for different equations altogether. There are so many combinations of players and so little in-game playing time that it’s very difficult – especially for a staff who was unsure until mid-February of last season how to properly utilize last year’s roster – to determine which back court combos are solid investments and which ones are not.

Tommy Lloyd didn’t have to fly to Texas the minute Manny confirmed the ineluctable. Scholarship spots can stay open; two of them were left open for a semester just this past year before Stockton and Hart were handed one semester freebies.

It would appear, then, that he recruited Landry because he was needed to fill a valuable role.

But in reality, Lloyd didn’t go get Landry out of need for another guard, because the Zags don’t need another guard. He got Landry so the team could throw another talented but unknown entity into the already convoluted process of devising a new depth chart.

Something about that seems unnecessary, much less farsighted.


Landry Commits To GU, Jones Apparently Does Not

April 23, 2011

And here we were, readying an evergreen piece that palavered about the greatest Junior seasons had by Zag big men (Rob, this means you) when all this news steamrolls on in: Manny Arop leaves; Bryce Jones postpones his campus visit for another week; Bryce Jones winnows his potential school list to only UNLV and SDSU; And finally, the newest (and God help us, the last) member of the update-your-Rolodex ’11-’12 class, 6’5″ shooting guard Guy Landry, commits to Gonzaga.

That’s a busy 48 hours of roster adjustment.

I Feel Like This Guy Would Get Along With Sam Dower

A few days ago Manny was (on paper) still on the team, and small forward Bryce Jones was legitimately interested in attending Gonzaga. The latter myth appeared to be dispelled today when Coast To Coast Recruiting guru Neal Nieves wrote to us that Jones had all along been choosing between UNLV and SDSU. This theory was supported when Jones rescheduled Friday’s GU campus visit at the last minute.

The former myth was, well, just a myth all along.

One thing’s for sure: this is a great day for Mathis Moenninghoff. With Jones and Arop out of the picture, two guys who would’ve fought for playing time at the wing spot are no longer with us. Now, the only true “threes” we have are Mathis Moenninghoff and…Mathis Moenninghoff. Hart or Kieta can play the position in a pinch, and somehow Kelly is officially listed in places as a “small forward” but if we’re being honest with ourselves, Moenninghoff is the only true wing we have, immobility be damned.

Which brings us to the biggest news of the day: Midland (Tx.) Junior College guard Guy Landry, whose resume looks like something out of a UN Convention, will transfer to Gonzaga and fill Keegan Hyland’s vacated scholarship spot next year.

Plucked by Tommy Lloyd out of relative obscurity on a recent Texas trip, Guy brings this to the table, as well as all the other concomitant hackneyed superlatives written by people on message boards who have never seen, heard of, or exchanged Tweets with him. Even if they had done those things, even if this was a Kevin Pangos-Anthony Bennett type relationship, that still wouldn’t matter.

This is because of another lesson we learned from last year: Regardless of a player’s individual talent – see Mathis’ awesome jumper, Manny’s ridiculous wingspan, Kieta’s awesome speed and cutting ability, Meech’s tenacious defense – if the coaching staff doesn’t feel that that talent either a) has other complimentary talents, or b) doesn’t directly fit into their offensive/defensive system, then that player won’t see significant playing time. As a result, players will either change their games significantly and adapt to the needs of the system, or they won’t get the playing time to adequately showcase their dominant talent.

Either way, our belief is that hyping any recruit’s abilities when they’re still in high school is a fruitless exercise, because there are ten hundred variables to come into play between now and the stretch of their careers when they see significant playing time, and because of those variables, the recruit’s abilities will either change drastically or be utilized in a dramatically different way.

We’re looking forward to watching Landry play, but we’re not going to pretend to yet know what skills he’ll display at Gonzaga.

As for Jones, we’re not exactly broken up about his cold feet.

Today we’ll welcome Guy. Tomorrow we’ll address the potentially catastrophic imbalance of guards that his arrival, Jones’ non-arrival and Manny’s departure means for the program.


What We Know About Bryce Jones, And The Questions That The Staff Needs To Ask Based On What We Know

April 22, 2011

Jones, far right, reassures a teammate along with Garrett Jackson, far left, who wears a face mask over his nose because Jones broke it with his fist

USC exile Bryce Jones toured Gonzaga’s campus today in hopes of finding a new home, and sources close to the program indicate that GU is Jones’ top choice to play basketball at in 2012-2013. With relatively little playing time (18 games) to his name, and earning more notoriety for hazily-defined off court incidents than on court ones, Jones’ is a somewhat mysterious entity. Here’s what we know for certain about Jones:

We know Rivals ranked him as USC’s lone Top 100 prospect in the 2010 class (thereby retroactively qualifying him as our blue-chip acquisition from that year).

We know he is best known for his ability to slash to the basket on offense.

We know he averaged 11.2 points and 28 minutes per game over the first ten games of the season, which he started. We also know the mid-season arrival of Fordham transfer Jio Fontan to the Trojan program coincided with the end of Jones’ starting role on the team, and that in a bench role over the following eight games Jones averaged 3.2 points in 12 minutes a game.

We know the day following a four point loss to Oregon State on January 15th, eight games after he was relegated to said bench role, USC put out a press release announcing that Jones was leaving the program “because he wasn’t getting enough playing time.”

We know a week after the January 16th press release was made, the Los Angeles Times reported that O’Neill told Jones to transfer or else he would be removed from the team.

We know Trojan coach Kevin O’Neill claimed there was “a reason for (Jones’ lack of playing time)”, but that he refused to discuss what that reason was, or any circumstances which may have contributed to Jones’ well-documented frustration with the program.

We know Jones expected to play “at least 30 minutes a game,” a promise he claims O’Neill made to him, and that he was publicly disappointed once he felt that promise had not been upheld.

We know Jones admitted to punching fellow Trojan player Garrett Jackson in a locker room, as well as exchanging obscenities in a separate incident with his dormitory’s resident advisor.

That is what we know for certain about Bryce Jones.

The Zags could certainly benefit from an effective slasher stationed on the wing; this site has advocated for the utilization of speedy basket cuts practically since our first post.

But the addition of a sophomore wing player in 2012-2013 would create a logjam at the wing position similar to what the team had this year – and that’s assuming the Zags don’t recruit another three man in the next 12 months. One of the few positives of Manny’s departure is the (assumed) increased exposure and development time for Mathis and Matis. After all, Mike Hart can’t play the entire game.

It’s hard to believe that the much-hyped Jones’ addition to the roster wouldn’t warrant him a starting role. At the very least, it would warrant him significant playing time in 2012-2013. If you factor in Few’s appreciation for then-senior Hart (and his appreciation for seniors in general) and then-junior Mathis and Matis face the prospect of being at least third and fourth, respectively, in the wing depth chart. As juniors. The fan base can debate back and forth as to whether this would be a good or bad thing for the team. It would undeniably be a bad thing for Mathis and Matis.

Beyond these considerations, there is Jones’ personality type to consider. Past violent infractions aside, Mark Few made a statement this past season by benching very talented players in favor of players whom he felt worked the hardest and deserved to be on the court the most. Will a player with a documented history of feeling entitled succeed in this type of meritocracy?

Even discounting this premise, the staff still had a notoriously hard time narrowing down that ever elusive “rotation” among players who at times did overachieve – a line graph of Marquise, Manny (RIP), Mathis, Matis, Mike and Meech’s playing time over the course of the year looks like a bunch of drunk sine waves.

How will Jones react if he follows the mold of the recently-deported Arop, or worse, Meech, who despite owning Few’s trust and admiration, still saw his starting role and overall minutes diminish over the course of the year? And how will that reaction affect the team?


Manny Arop Is No Longer A Zag

April 21, 2011

Manny's hitchin' a ride out of town

In a move that surprised no one, sources close to the program have announced that Manny Arop has requested to transfer from Gonzaga. Update: Jim Meehan confirms via Twitter.

Arop, along with G.J. Vilarino, Keegan Hyland, Andy Poling, Grant Gibbs and Bol Kong, is the sixth player to leave the program in the last sixteen months. To put that in perspective, seven players left the program in the seven years between 2003 and the start of 2010.

Arop has not decided where, or if, he will play his junior-year basketball season. If he does elect to play at another school he will do so in the 2012-13 season after sitting out the requisite year as stipulated by NCAA transfer rules.

The wingman, who was well liked even by his detractors,  developed a cult-like following as he continued to lose playing time over the second half of the 2010-2011 season. The diminishing of his playing time was controversial and lead to widespread speculation that Arop would seek opportunities outside of Gonzaga this Spring.

Explaining the situation, Mark Few told the Spokesman-Review that Arop “is a great guy who just wants the opportunity to go play more somewhere else.” Few did not address any reasons as to why Arop, a former starter, gradually lost significant playing time over the second half of the 2010-2011 season.

Arop, ranked the 88th best prospect in the country in the class of 2009 by Rivals.com, was one of only four top-100 rated recruits that the Zags ever initially signed.

Coincidentally, similarly-rated class of 2010 recruit and former USC Trojan Bryce Jones is expected to visit campus tomorrow. Jones is nearly identical height to Arop in height, weight, and familiarity with playing the wing. Today another wing, Midland (Tx.) Junior College player Guy Landry, visited campus as well. Both Jones and Landry are considering attending Gonzaga next Fall.


Why We Care, And Think We Like, Who Kelly Graves Is

April 2, 2011

The Zags lost badly last Monday night to a Stanford team that, as predicted, fielded a wall of intensely dominating post play and eliminated Gonzaga’s transition game. By shooting the lights out and rebounding better than Robert Downey Jr.’s career, the Cardinal erased all semblance of the usual rhythm and precision that Courtney Vandersloot’s distribution scheme runs on.

Also, the Zags shot something like -13%.

With the year officially over, and tons of apropos season-summative comments already in the books, we’d like to explore an area that we couldn’t fully investigate during the season.

Who the hell is women’s head coach Kelly Graves?

Kelly Graves...Derek Raivio's father? Engoldened haberdasher? Or mere purveyor of weird friends?

We’ve surmised a few Grave(s) details from afar: The team he inherited in his first year at Gonzaga went 0-14 in conference. This year’s team went 14-0. He’s oddly comfortable looking like Courtney Vandersloot’s sidekick, or subordinate, instead of the other way around.

But even in our own backyard, one of the few where women’s basketball can thrive economically and socially, an environment where there should exist the fewest obstacles to transparency, there is little transparency. You think Mark Few is a stonewalling enigma? Try finding hard-hitting reporting on Graves. Sure, fans know his smiling demeanor, his de facto perma-calm, and his resplendent dome. But he’s been here 11 years and all we really know is that whomever is buying his dress shirts needs to remeasure his neck size.

It is amidst this relative unknown that Graves, formerly rumored to be inspecting the monetarily greener pastures at the University of Washington, has signed a new ten year contract that keeps him in Spokane until 2021.

Taking care of the guy this well means Mike Roth is banking on the idea Graves will not only return the Zags back to the limelight, but to more publicly charted and fiscally refulgent waters. And it is precisely this team’s first brief shove into the public eye that made possible the following quote, perhaps the most subtly insightful one yet, into Graves’ coaching attitude.

In reference to the team’s Elite Eight loss to Stanford, Graves told S-R’s Dave Trimmer:

‘They’re just a better team than us,’ he said. ‘We’re not there yet. We would have had to play a perfect game. It’s not to say that on any given night we couldn’t play with a team like that but they would have to be a little off.’

Not only will Graves not be pulling a Dan Monson – he’s now officially cast in the role of athletic department savior.

Graves was just hand-delivered a launch pad on which to continue to build a women’s program, a launch pad that is eerily similar to the one the men’s program built itself on. He could, if he so chooses, captain the greatest do-over in the university’s history: he could usher in years, perhaps even a decade of sustained success, and all within the purer, chaster, and frankly more tenacious vehicle of GU women’s basketball, a vehicle that can hopefully sidestep a large chunk of the bullshit (consistent under performance in big games, six player exodus, recruiting disasters) that’s come with all the good the men’s side has offered us.

Thus, the question surrounding his contract renewal is not whether we’re the right program-on-the-rise for him, but if he’s the right coach for our specific program-on-the-rise.

Amidst a wide-open west coast basketball landscape (outside of the Cardinal, of course) his recruiting draw, alone, might be powerful enough to make the answer to that question a ‘yes.’

Nonetheless, his omnipresence in the weeks leading up to the Elite Eight game across nearly every local media source still seemed to paradoxically enshroud his character instead of reveal it. As Dennis Patchin and company lobbed softball after softball to the guy, an eager fan base simply heard a bunch of cheerful pleonasms and baseless banalities. Imagine if Brick Tamland from Anchorman and Scooby Doo had a love child. Said child’s were the type of responses we were getting to permeating 60 Minutes Style questions like, “Have you had to pay for a cup of coffee this post-season?” “What are your thoughts on the word ‘Lady?’” And “How long does it take to drive from your house to The Arena?”

The question about the climate that supported Graves’ post-season vapidity is whether or not it’s the same one that supports the Mark Few kind. The explicitly non-constructive kind instead of the harmlessly annoying one. The kind where, perhaps to his discredit, you know there’s a bunch of details percolating in his head and behind the scenes that could explain so much about the team we all obsess over, but will forever remain frustratingly confined by a firmly clasped “gee-shucks” chastity belt of expression.

Graves’ quote is an important step in confirming the answer to this question is ‘no.’

His comment speaks to us for no other reason than its blunt honesty in the face of a hug fest. Indeed, it’s more than ‘OK’ to say what Coach Graves said. It’s his obligation as a coach to, in instances where we are completely out-classed, out-played and out-all other things, level as he did with his fan base.

If Stanford hadn’t beaten the Zags by 23, if the team hadn’t swept WCC play, if they hadn’t fallen perfectly within the alignment of stars that gave them a post-season home stay, if they hadn’t made their deepest tournament run ever, and if it hadn’t been made at the moment Zagnation was blinded with tears of appreciation, these comments would’ve been deemed harsh. If it wasn’t the Zags’ coach talking, they would’ve been deemed to harsh. And if anyone would’ve uttered them about the deified men’s side, all flavors of message board hell would’ve broken loose, and the whole mess would’ve been idiotic and vain.

But fortunately, this wasn’t the case. And so saying that Stanford is in a more elite college basketball class than Gonzaga marked an important step toward relating with fans, and toward fans learning more about the man. He was direct, honest, yet graceful. A far less battle tested coach than Few, Graves very easily could’ve let himself get swept away by the sentimental ebullience of the moment, and waxed boilerplate on everything that we already knew made this March a special one. Isn’t that what sideline quotes are known for?

Hopefully, this can be the moment that kickstarts our understanding of Kelly Graves, and more importantly, kickstarts the permanent stationing of the Zag Women’s ship in high-major waters.


1999, Anyone?

March 28, 2011

This might be the most predictable image we could show

There should be something profound to say after an advancement to the Elite Eight. By a double-digit seed who nonetheless enjoyed an unprecedented home-city advantage in their first three games. Via a point guard that, according to diligent ESPN cutaways, was taught how to break the Division-I single-season assist record by the NBA’s all-time assist leader. Amidst a heaven-sent scenario for NCAA brass that proves women’s basketball is still, in some areas, promotable, remarkable, and even lucrative. In a near-vacuum of pro-Zags support that, when mentioned to fans, somehow still makes people regress to “gee shucks” smiles and using the words “community”and “supportive” in the same sentence.

You can celebrate the sheer awesomeness of the Zags’ accomplishment, however, without really tired story lines and unquantifiable statements of mirth. Instead of repeating lines we’ve been hearing since 1999, when the men’s team was in a nearly identical position as the ladies currently are, you can also just relate what happened and be excited about it: The Zags got a break when Louisville’s leading scorer injured herself before ever taking the court. Gonzaga played awesomely for 30 minutes. Louisville played badly for 30 minutes. Then Louisville cut a 20 point lead to three, a result of both “Cardinal good” and “Bulldog bad.” And then the Zags pulled away when it counted by running, gunning, feeding off crowd energy, and contesting shots.

It’s easy to get lost in the star power of the team’s most familiar name. While Gonzaga’s second half complacency was a retrograde step, their bounce back was made possible by team play. Despite not subbing a deep bench — they’ve managed their last two wins with only seven players — the team has quiet weapons that lend added potency to their loudest one. The quintessence of Gonzaga’s ability to run through teams is their knack for razor sharp passing (Ms. Sloot) and offensive spacing in transition that allows for passing lanes to form in the first place (Everyone Else).

These qualities will have to be every bit as spot on as they usually are in order for them to defeat Stanford. But as we remarked when presented with the potential of a physical Xavier match up, tonight the women will also need to play more like, well, men. Stanford is a different animal than a feisty but tired Iowa team, a nonplussed UCLA squad, or a Louisville team that didn’t have it’s leading scorer and couldn’t shoot.

This is a 1 seed in women‘s basketball, not men’s. They don’t really lose.

Stanford’s height and strength make Amber Harris and Ta’Shia Phillips seem like desirable opponents. But instead of those big Xavier bodies, we get the 6’3″ Ogwumike twins, 6’3″ Mikaela Reuf, 6’5″ Sarah Boothe, plus Janette Pohlen, who is like the Gerry McNamara of women’s hoops.

The Zags need more than a track meet. They need to rattle the Cardinal in every way they can by playing their most intense, physical game of the year. Redmon, Bekkering, Standish and Bowen have the tall task of making the tall Cardinals’ presence in the paint a living hell.

An 11 seed made it to the Final Four yesterday in the men’s tournament. Had they lost, VCU still would’ve been commended for their style of play, because nothing – not even the presence of an intimidating one seed – rattled them. But they won, by virtue of unshakable poise, good luck, and being the aggressor. They experienced success because they played and reacted, in quite frankly a chilling fashion, like they were supposed to win all along.

An 11 seed in the women’s bracket can do the exact same thing today.


We’ll Have Whatever Those Ladies Are Having

March 23, 2011

It plays to both our and our readers’ psychological advantage to abstain from writing about the men’s team for a few more days. Quite fortuitously, there happens to be this other team on campus that’s radicalizing the basketball landscape, captivating new fans who wouldn’t otherwise watch the sport, and deserves more of this site’s attention than it currently receives.

You have to love women’s college basketball coverage if for no other reason than no one in the country outside of Dave Trimmer seems to be mentioning at all the still mind-bogglingly advantageous occurrence of the Spokane sub-regional being placed inside the Spokane regional. An ESPN blog by Michelle Voepel recently mentioned how Gonzaga’s home court advantage was aiding their tournament run, and yet didn’t mention that it would actually be continuing. For an 11 seed. In the rounds of 16 and 8. For the first time in the history of the women’s tournament.

The faces of #Winning

Ah, the shroud of anonymity — and the lowered stakes — surrounding womens’ collegiate sports coverage.

Speaking of coverage, in case you missed its in-broadcast mention every 90 seconds or so, Courtney Vandersloot passed the incredible 2,000-1,000 milestone on Monday, which she thankfully had one extra post-season game to reach. She now has yet another post-season game in which she can destroy the single-season assist record, which frankly is a mark no one thought even she would hit. Congratulations, Courtney. You run and pass like a gazelle. A record-setting gazelle. And you’ve converted a men’s-only basketball watcher to a co-ed one.

In contrast to what we saw in the first four minutes of the second half on Saturday in Denver, said gazelle and her equally-talented offensive ingenue Kayla Standish helped the Gonzaga women’s team neutralize their halftime deficit, and play toe-to-toe with UCLA the rest of the way. They were rarely perfect — the Zags’ zone is often porous and even the invincible VDS turns the ball over sometimes — but they were nearly always entertaining, intense and effective.

And then after the game, they got lucky again.

It’s no secret that upsets aren’t a frequent occurrence in women’s basketball. When Xavier, up nine on Louisville with under ten minutes to play and benefitting form a huge size advantage in 6’6″ Ta’Shia Phillips and 6’5″ Amber Harris, completely imploded on their home floor, we were surprised. And pleasantly so. Trying to simultaneously guard two ferocious bigs and two deadly three point threats like Tyeasha Moss and Katie Rutan for the second sweet sixteen in a row didn’t seem to aid our chances of winning, regardless of where we were playing.

Standish, for whose scoring alacrity we may as well refer to as Samantha Dower, can clearly out-physical people on offense. But while Louisville is much smaller than Xavier they still play physical interior basketball. If UCLA was imposing enough to expose passing and scoring lanes left open by bigs Standish, Katelan Redmon and Kelly Bowen, Louisville will be, too. Clearly, the Louisville matchup will be a track meet. We have a strong shot to win any track meet we enter. But the key to success against the Cardinal will be dominating the possessions that slow down into a half-court set, by eliminating easy scoring angles inside and playing a more alert zone.

The total confluence of events remains a huge break for the Zags in a post-season where good fortune continues to be mysteriously consummate with good skill. We recently learned the hard way, however, that an event doesn’t necessarily occur just because the circumstances surrounding the event increase the likelihood of it occurring.

But we’re suckers. And we think the Zags are gonna do it this Saturday.

One week ago we wrote that if the men’s team somehow advanced to the Elite 8, and the women beat UCLA, that this coming Saturday would be the biggest day in the history of Gonzaga University athletics. With superior guard play, shooting ability, tempo control, and the momentum of 12,000 screaming Zag fans trying to will their team to yet another home game and their best post-season result in program history, it still could be.


Back To Earth

March 19, 2011

This was the face we made for most of the second half, too

This is really tough to write. We’re shocked. We don’t think anyone in our fan base thought this would happen, and if they did, they didn’t think it would happen this shamefully. And yet, part-time cynics that we are, should we be surprised that the Zags of not-so-old resurfaced 48 hours after one of the most uplifting victories in program history?

We’re not sure if the fact that this team of streaks and extremes failed to be even a mere shade of what they were two nights ago is a reflection of how desperate we were for a significant tournament run, or how gullible we are as a fan base. Either way, we all just got punked. This site, especially, fell hook, line and sinker for a strong showing, if not a win.

Firstly and foremostly, BYU made shots tonight. They made 53% from the floor. We shot an unusually low 42%. This doesn’t account for the entirety of a 22 point blow out, but it does account for a lot.

The Cougars are clearly comprised of more components than Jimmer. A number of Cougars stepped up around the perimeter and hit shots. Several of those went in because they have several talented perimeter shooters. Several other BYU threes fell because we are, as we have holistically been this year, an incompetent perimeter defense team. Respect to them on their overall performance, but it is not entirely to BYU’s credit that they went an unseemly 14-28 from three tonight.

Stat lines aside, this may have been Rob and Steven’s worst combined game ever, and certainly their worst against a Top 25 opponent. If I’m Steven, I am pretty pissed that I spent my last Zag game throwing dainty, vulnerable lob passes and taking ill advised second half shots instead of having a positive impact. Rob can be as physical as a Mack truck, but none of that matters if he can’t hold the ball in his hands, double-teamed or not.

On a positive note, we want to thank Elias for showing up tonight. We’ve said all year long that he is infinitely better when he cuts to the basket. He’s also infinitely better when he plays like he wants to physically kill our opponent. He played his ass off on every possession this evening, but 18 points and seven boards doesn’t seem to reward the level of physicality and toughness that he brought, and that we wish others would have brought. He also got screwed a number of times by bad breaks and bad calls. We hope he doesn’t just spend the off-season motivating himself with the embarrassment of this loss. We hope he spends his off-season remembering how he came to play in the last two games of this year, and that he makes a point of permanently adopting this ruthless style. Because the Elias we saw tonight would have annihilated the Elias we saw against Kansas St. or SDSU or Washington State.

It was a tale of two halves: the contest started out as an unfortunate cocktail of zebras, bad luck and poor play, and through it all we weathered a seven point deficit. But the night ended with a straight shot of self-inflicted lethargy, indecision, and other bad adjectives that you’re probably inserting under your breath right now.

The difference maker in the first half was the surprising amount of tactical energy BYU started the game with. Just as we looked one step ahead of St. J’s two nights ago, BYU looked one step ahead of us right out of the gate. Our ultimate inability to match their energy allowed BYU to dictate the tone and tempo of the game – fast and furious, and perimeter oriented. For us, frenetic pacing bordered several times on out-of-control pacing, and BYU’s ostensibly mediocre post defense morphed into a front with a surprising amount of tenacity, usually made possible by a persistent BYU double-team.

Because we weren’t in control of the tempo in the first half, we weren’t in control of our game plan of dominating the post and geting guys in foul trouble. Of course, our unique ability to cough up the ball at the mere sniff of a potential BYU double-team probably screwed up our post efforts even more. Pokeaways came back and threatened to make an appearance on nearly every possession, especially down low with Rob. Tonight there existed, in the interior, the diametric opposite of the post-dominance we experienced in the St. John’s game. One strong possession would be followed by a tentative, rattled one or a ramshackle-paced one.

As the first half drew on, there was a stretch of five minutes or so that Rob held on to the ball. In this stretch we finally started to draw more fouls off of post feeds. Largely to Rob’s credit, we were able to carve out enough interior space that guys like Anderson, Hartsock, Magnusson and Abouo were forced to hack us. This is where Dave Rose, probably best known for getting out of the way of his star player, should be commended for the chess piece positioning of his players. He did an excellent job of subbing in his five interior men, ensuring that everyone accumulated fouls evenly. The four aforementioned players had 4, 3, 4 and 3 fouls respectively. Despite drawing 14 fouls on their post players, none of them ever felt in danger of fouling out.

While losing the scoring battle in the first half was aided considerably by the combination of dubious officiating, BYU having great luck, and us continuously allowing ourselves to be stripped of the ball, the second half was purely our fault. After the adversity that we had faced in the first 20, we needed to come out and reaffirm our dominance in the post.

Check out this play-by-play coming out of the second half:

TIME GONZAGA SCORE BRIGHAM YOUNG
19:44 Marquise Carter Turnover. 38-45
19:44 38-45 Noah Hartsock Steal.
19:12 38-48 Jimmer Fredette made Three Point Jumper.
18:59 Demetri Goodson Turnover. 38-48
18:59 38-48 Jackson Emery Steal.
18:57 Foul on Marquise Carter 38-48
18:47 38-50 Noah Hartsock made Jumper. Assisted by Charles Abouo.
18:37 38-50 Foul on Charles Abouo
18:34 Robert Sacre made Layup. 40-50
18:15 40-52 Charles Abouo made Layup.
17:59 Steven Gray Turnover. 40-52
17:59 40-52 Kyle Collinsworth Steal.
17:55 Foul on Steven Gray 40-52
17:54 40-54 Noah Hartsock made Layup.
17:39 Robert Sacre missed Jumper. 40-54
17:37 40-54 Charles Abouo Defensive Rebound.
17:00 40-54 Kyle Collinsworth missed Three Point Jumper.
16:57 Robert Sacre Defensive Rebound. 40-54
16:57 Marquise Carter missed Layup. 40-54
16:57 40-54 Noah Hartsock Block.
16:57 40-54 Noah Hartsock Defensive Rebound.
16:42 40-54 Jimmer Fredette Turnover.
16:35 Steven Gray Turnover. 40-54
16:35 40-54 Jackson Emery Steal.
16:28 40-56 Jimmer Fredette made Layup.
16:25 Gonzaga Full Timeout.

That’s a turd sandwich, folks, that we whipped up at the most critical juncture of the game. In our first seven possessions we turned the ball over four times, missed two five footers, and made one shot.

This is the stretch of play in which we had to save our season by turning the tenor of the game around – by refocusing our interior presence, protecting the ball, slowing the game down, and drawing more fouls.

Instead, we did none of those things, and as a result this was the stretch where our season ended.

We’ll write again in a few days. For us, personally, it might be beneficial to sit back and re-examine exactly why were so confident that our team would perform at a high level this evening. This was really the year that we weren’t going to go down UNC style or Syracuse style. We could feel it.

We felt wrong.


We’re On The Cusp Of Something Great, Here

March 19, 2011

Jimmer's all alone on this court, kind of like how he is when he plays with his own team.

Popular sports cliches posit that it’s stupid for a team to look beyond their next immediate matchup, and that they instead should take one game at a time. Make no mistake, the Zags next matchup is a six-lettered freak who should’ve garnered Ammo comparisons much earlier than this January, and he needs to be taken very seriously. As we wrote earlier, Zags v. Jimmer is in some ways a matchup from hell; we get to defend a perimeter shooting threat that has never met a shooting space he couldn’t enlarge, and never met a spot on the floor that he didn’t like to shoot from. While the Zags of December and their perimeter defense failures are locked in the rear-view mirror, this is still a shudder-worthy assignment for a sub-250 perimeter defense team.

It is equally important to note, however, that this is an incredibly beatable BYU team whose stock is dropping worse than the skin underneath Rick Pitino’s eyes. Their interior presence is dwindling, and they had a hard time out-rebounding lowly Wofford. Our interior presence on Thursday downright bullied a Big Bad East team into complete submission. Their team revolves around one epic player and ten role players. Our team revolves around six or seven strong players. In other words, it is a team.

This realization of BYU’s vulnerability, assuming that we do in fact realize it, can only further our confidence level, which is ten games closer to being sky high than it was on February 5th. But when you factor in the context of this particular 2011 tournament, adequate ascertainment of BYU’s weaknesses should make us more than confident – it should make us wring our hands with anticipation because of what we can achieve beyond BYU. (On a side note, our women’s team, faced with the insanely awesome and unprecedented gift of continuous home court advantage until the Final Four, should also be wringing their hands themselves. Their first home game tips at 1:00pm PST on ESPN2, and serves as an excellent enthusiasm builder for the men’s game).

Let’s put today’s matchup in a different perspective. Say we had gotten leveled with the dreaded nine seed instead of the eleven. Say that we weren’t in the region with the most vulnerable number one seed. And say Brandon Davies had been suspended in December and BYU’s stock had dropped all the way to an eight seed, and they were facing us in the first round. We would have pride to play for, but we would also have a second round matchup with Ohio State to play for. A team’s tourney success is measured in 2011 by the depth of the runs it has, not a valiant or not-so-valiant second round effort, and facing OSU or Duke in the second round would more than likely spell the end of a tournament run.

Our current scenario is insanely more advantageous. The winner of our matchup faces the winner of a 2-7 matchup. The 2 seed is simply an over-seeded team, and the 7, well, see below.

It is for this reason why “looking ahead” should serve a small but valuable purpose – when the “getting” for the winner of today’s game is this good, how can you not be a little more excited to play, to capture the best opportunity you might ever have to make a deep tournament run?

Local radio announcer Dennis Patchin, a voice we usually only turn to for grunts, groans and whining emphaticisms, pulled out a gem yesterday on air. He asked if after all that this team has been through, if through the unassailable woes of the lowest Zag lows the MZE has possibly ever seen, wouldn’t it be funny if this group of guys came out the other end as the team?

Many feel that the 2006 NCAA Tournament team was the team, and that the team blew it in an unforgivable, 17-point, sweet-sixteen-meltdown-to-UCLA type of way. If UCLA knocks off Florida today, which is by no means out of the realm of possibility, then we have the opportunity to win our way to redemption, and a do over at taking out UCLA in the Round of 16. For what it’s worth, when we ran game simulations against 20 different potential first round opponents before the draw was announced, the opponent whom we had the most favorable scoring margin against of all was the Bruins.

Are we salivating, yet?

I love this time of year, and I love this type of Zag team. You know there will be BYU fans crawling all over the Pepsi Center today. But there will also be a ton of Zag fans, and even more Zag momentum.

It’s time to go out and slaughter the Cougars the way we slaughtered St. John’s. Because this is one winnable opportunity we simply can’t pass up.


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